Question 1

What do crypto prediction markets ask?

Accepted Answer

Questions such as whether Bitcoin reaches a price by the end of the month, where Ethereum closes on a date, or whether a project launches its token. Each event lists its outcomes and deadline.

Question 2

How are the probabilities on crypto markets set?

Accepted Answer

By traders on OCTORAX buying and selling Yes and No shares. The price of Yes is the market’s estimate: 25% for a price target means traders see it as possible but unlikely.

Question 3

How does a crypto market pay out?

Accepted Answer

Each correct share pays $1 when the market is settled. The minimum order is 1 in shares, and you can sell your shares before the deadline at the current price.

Question 4

Which price is used to settle a crypto market?

Accepted Answer

The source named in the rules, usually a specific exchange’s price for a trading pair at a stated time. Prices on other exchanges do not count.