Question 1

How do economy markets work?

Accepted Answer

A market usually asks about one release, such as whether the central bank cuts rates at its next meeting or whether inflation comes in above a level. Some events split a figure into ranges, each with its own price.

Question 2

What does the price of an economic outcome tell me?

Accepted Answer

It is the probability traders currently assign to it: a rate cut at 80% means the market sees it as very likely but not certain. Prices change as new data, speeches and forecasts arrive before the release date.

Question 3

How are payouts calculated?

Accepted Answer

Each share of the outcome that matches the official figure pays $1; all other shares pay nothing. The minimum order is 1 in shares, and the shares can be sold at the current price until the market closes.

Question 4

Which figure counts when an economy market is settled?

Accepted Answer

The first official publication named in the rules, for example the central bank statement or the statistics office release. Later revisions do not change a settled market unless its rules say so.